I feel like every time I write something about the Phillies it starts with “hoo boy, that Phillies offense sure is bad, isn’t it?” I apologize for the repitition. I know you know the Phillies can’t hit. I know you know that if it weren’t for the Braves everyone would be talking about how historically bad this Phillies offense is. You don’t need me to repeat myself, but unfortunately, the analysis which follows requires this statement of fact to provide the necessary context and so…
The Phillies offense is bad.
With that out of the way, a bad offense can put a disproportionate amount of pressure on any good offensive players in the lineup. In the case of the 2016 Phillies, the only *good* offensive players are Odubel Herrera and Maikel Franco. Sure, there are varying degrees of hope and optimism for Tyler Goeddel, Tommy Joseph, and perhaps even Cameron Rupp, but functionally, the offense rests on the shoulders of Herrera and Franco at the moment. With Franco struggling so far this season, this leaves Herrera as The Guy.
Herrera has done everything necessary to earn that reputation as the linchpin to the Phillies offense. He’s thrived in his new role as a leadoff hitter, leading the team in virtually every significant non-power driven statistical category from batting average to wRC+ to stolen bases to walk-rate. With that in mind, when the Phillies release a lineup like tonight’s lineup against the Cubs, it’s devastating due to the lack of The Guy at the top: