Crash Landing: Herrera, Energy, and Personality

I have a theory that at the end of my life the baseball player I will have watched the most is Jimmy Rollins. From his debut in 2000 through his final season with the Phillies in 2014, Rollins played 2,090 games for the Phillies — 2,136 counting the postseason. The only other player in history to suit up for the Phillies that many times was Michael Jack Schmidt (2,404 regular season games and 36 postseason games.) With the rarity of players staying with one team for the majority of a long career, the unlikelihood that the frequency with which I watch one single team will dramatically increase in the future, and the fact that I was an active watcher of the Phillies for Rollins’ entire career, it’s logical enough to suppose that even though I’m still relatively young I’ll never spend as many hours watching any one player as I spent watching him.

The years upon years of getting to know players like Rollins, Ryan Howard, Carlos Ruiz, Cole Hamels, and Chase Utley steadily lulled Philles fans into a comfortable familiarity with the team. Each player has a public persona understood by Phillies fans, from the gregarious and confident Rollins to the stoic and intense Utley. As the Phillies undergo a dramatic transition from old to new, their fanbase is gradually learning about the new player personnel. Is it worth emotionally investing in these players? Which players will be in Philadelphia for an extended period of time? Will we know any of these players even half as well as we knew the last Phillies core? Do we want to?

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Morton To The DL; Garcia Called Up

In the top of the second inning during last night’s game, Tyler Goeddel led off with a single which brought Charlie Morton to the plate with a runner on first and nobody out. As you’d expect for a pitcher who is bad at hitting even by a pitcher’s standards, Morton squared around to bunt. He eventually got the bunt down, but it went right back to the mound allowing the pitcher to field the ball, pivot and get the lead runner out at second. While trying to beat out the double play throw, Morton fell to the ground with what was later announced to be a hamstring injury. Unsurprisingly, the Phillies announced this morning that Morton has been moved to the disabled list:

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Maikel Franco Did A Thing

With yesterday’s win over the Brewers, the Phillies currently have a 9-9 record and .500 winning percentage. In an accomplishment that’s more an indictment of recent performance than actual current achievement, this marks the latest the Phillies have been at .500 since they were 12-12 on May 5th, 2014.

Yesterday’s win was fueled by the incredible performances of Odubel Herrera (3-for-4, 4 R, 2 BB, 1 HR, 2 SB) and Maikel Franco (3-for-5, HR, 4 RBI). Herrera is now leading the majors in walks with 17 and has a slash line with a correspondingly high on-base percentage: .283/.442/.433. With three home runs in the past two games, Franco has taken over the team lead in home runs at five and is sporting a thoroughly impressive slash line of his own: .299/.338/.552. Given that Herrera and Franco are the only two current Phillies position players with the potential to be key mainstays for the organization going forward, the two of them finding early success is obviously a welcome development.

The reason I’m writing up this brief post, however, is not because of their brilliant days at the plate, it’s because I wanted to be sure you had a place to appreciate that thing Maikel Franco did in the fifth inning. With a runner on second, no outs, Ryan Braun at the plate and Phillies reliever Andrew Bailey struggling in his season debut, Franco did this:

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The Phillies’ Other Platoon Off To A Strong Start

The Phillies have an expensive and bulky platoon situation at first base which is most generously described as functional. Darin Ruf and Ryan Howard are physically capable of standing at the position and taking at bats against opposite-handed pitching with moderate potential for success. So far, the results have been thoroughly unimpressive with the duo combining for a 65 wRC+ and hideous first base defense. But there is one other less prominent platoon on the roster and, so far, the results have been far more encouraging.

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Checking Up On Jerad Eickhoff’s Changeup

Yesterday Spencer Bingol provided a great break down of Jerad Eickhoff‘s current repertoire and the ways in which it’s helped Eickhoff exceed expectations to date. If you haven’t done so already, I highly recommend reading that piece because it provides the foundation for the analysis to follow.

The most defining characteristic of Eickhoff’s early career is his extraordinarily effective curveball. As Bingol illustrates, he also unleashes a slider which induces whiffs at a high rate which may not be entirely sustainable and a relatively non-descript fastball. But his fourth pitch, the changeup, is by far the weakest and, consequently, least used pitch in his arsenal.

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Positive signs from expectation-exceeding Jerad Eickhoff

Scouting baseball players has traditionally relied on the 20-80 scouting scale. It’s a system for grading both individual skills (called “tools”), and total value of the player. It mirrors the 68-95-99.7 Rule in statistics, referencing the percentage of values contained within one, two, and three standard deviations of the mean of a normal distribution. A “50” grade player represents a Major League average talent, a “60” grade player represents a well above-average talent (a likely All-Star), and a “40” grade player represents a talent equally far in the opposite direction (a bench player, sixth starter, etc.).

As the name implies, the scale extends in both directions to evaluations of “20” (organizational filler) and “80” (a superstar). This system doesn’t imply that there are an equal number of 20-grade and 80-grade talents in the world – obviously, the former outnumbers the latter – however, it attempts to describe the distribution of talent in the Major leagues, and organizational filler very rarely receives a roster spot.

Enter Jerad Eickhoff. Continue reading…

Guest Post: Aaron Nola Proving He Knows How To Pitch

This guest post was written by Ben Harris. Follow him on Twitter: @Ben27Harris

With 2016 came the Phillies first full campaign boasting their hopeful future trio of young rotation arms. Aaron Nola, Jerad Eickhoff and Vincent Velasquez had just 28 combined starts during their rookie years in 2015. But, to open this season, the trio of right-handers – whose average age rests just above 23 and a half – have dissected opponents in unique ways, providing Phillies’ faithful with bright rays of hope.

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Odubel Herrera’s Refined Plate Discipline

Believe it or not, the Phillies outfield has not been the worst offensive outfield in the majors so far this season. While their cumulative slashline of .162/.255/.279 is truly abysmal, Twins outfielders have managed to produce an even worse .171/.252/.236 line. The one person keeping the Phillies out of last place in this category has been center fielder Odubel Herrera.

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