The phrase “#1 overall pick” has a peculiar, almost mystical quality to it. As a concept a “#1 overall pick” is almost always Ken Griffey, Jr. or Alex Rodriguez or Chipper Jones. Maaaybe if we’re feeling reasonable “#1 overall pick” only means something like David Price or Stephen Strasburg or Justin Upton — merely All-Star level talents instead of surefire Hall of Famers. One thing is for sure, though, “#1 overall pick” in the abstract never means Delmon Young or Bryan Bullington or Tim Beckham. We’ve been talking about the Phillies #1 overall pick in the abstract for at least a year now and it’s meant nothing but fantasies of greatness, but tonight that all changes. Tonight the “#1 overall pick” gets a name. Tonight it becomes real.
I didn’t expect it the 2016 draft to shape up like this. Two years ago when the Phillies picked seventh overall everybody knew Aaron Nola would be the pick. Sure, there were other possibilities and other names to track, but by the time the draft rolled around there was little-to-no mystery. If Nola was there, the Phillies were going to take him. And, hey, that’s worked out pretty darn well! So, I figured, now that the Phillies have the first pick it’s guaranteed that we’ll know who the pick will be, right? It doesn’t matter what any other team does, the Phillies can pick absolutely anyone they want. If we knew Nola was coming, then of course we’ll know who’s coming with the first pick. It was a given.
Except of course it’s not. It seems so simple on the surface — the Phillies get to pick whoever they want! — and somehow it’s become maddeningly complex. There’s no clear cut #1 overall pick and, with the structure of the draft being what it is, money may well be the deciding factor in a scenario I just didn’t see coming.