Phils Make Mickey Moniak Top Draft Choice Of 2016
In what was only a surprise move if you weren’t paying attention for the last 24 hours or so, The Phillies selected Outfielder Mickey Moniak from La Costa Canyon High School in Carlsbad, California. Moniak will likely sign for well below the assigned pick value of just north of $9M, though it could be some time before we get an official number there. I’d guess it’s not less than $5.25M, but not much more. Sense was he would not get picked by Atlanta or Cincinnati, so his point of leverage for bonus would by the fourth pick – slotted at $5.26M.
Moniak’s been described as having the best prep hit tool in the draft, and I’ve seen that unqualified as well. Word seems to be that scouts believe in his glove and legs enough that he should stick in centerfield, and the arm will hold up there as well. The only ceiling issue is his power – he’s listed at just 6’2″, 190lbs, and the swing is geared for line drives, not fly balls. If you’re an elite bat playing solid defense at a plus position, you don’t need much power to be an above league-average player, so even if it never develops, Moniak could still be all-star caliber on a regular basis.
If I were to guess on where he’d start his pro career, I would suggest that like JP Crawford a couple years back, he’ll hit the Gulf Coast League whenever he signs, and his play thereafter will dictate whether he ever has to stop off in Williamsport, or if he can cruise to a full-season league. Just a sense here based on how his tools have been lauded- they could probably start him in Williamsport or even Lakewood and see how it goes, but my gut says that he’ll be held at their minor league home base in Clearwater instead. If he has success on the field, it may not be long at all before he is jumped up.
We’ll see you at Pick 42 – 2.1. Cross your fingers someone good falls that far.