Be Patient, Temper Expectations for Ken Giles

Last night’s bullpen meltdown brought calls for Double-A reliever Ken Giles to a fever pitch. Giles, 23, has gotten off to a fast start with Reading, striking out 14, walking two, notching five saves, all without allowing a single run in six innings of work. Giles throws a fastball which reaches the triple digits along with a power slider. GM Ruben Amaro said of the Phillies promoting Giles earlier on WIP, “I think you have to think about it.”

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Sometimes Bad Things Happen to Good People

Monday night’s game against the Atlanta Braves was ugly for myriad reasons; the bullpen responsible for nearly all of them. To recap, it was a fairly close game after seven innings. Starter Roberto Hernandez yielded only two runs to the Braves, on a two-run home run by Evan Gattis. Mario Hollands pitched a scoreless seventh inning. The Phillies managed just one run off of Braves starter Ervin Santana, which came on a second-inning solo home run by Ryan Howard. Once it got to the eighth inning, things got out of hand.

Reliever B.J. Rosenberg took the mound and the Braves brought the lumber. Evan Gattis, Dan Uggla, and Andrelton Simmons hit back-to-back-to-back solo home runs in rapid-fire succession, putting the game seemingly out of reach at 5-1. Luis Garcia relieved Rosenberg and was able to escape the eighth with no further damage. Entering the bottom of the eighth, the Phillies’ win probability sat at a meager four percent.

Just as the Braves’ bats woke up, so too did the Phillies’. Luis Avilan relieved Anthony Varvaro and was immediately put to the test by the top of the Phillies’ lineup. Tony Gwynn, Jr. walked, and Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley both singled to load the bases. Ryan Howard struck out (hey, it was against a lefty!), but Marlon Byrd picked him up with a two-run single to right field. Domonic Brown put the cherry on top of the inning with a go-ahead three-run home run to make it 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. Their win probability stood at 84 percent at the conclusion of the bottom of the eighth.

Closer Jonathan Papelbon had pitched in three consecutive games, so manager Ryne Sandberg opted to have the normally-reliable Jake Diekman close out the ninth, but it was not to be. Diekman could not hit the strike zone whatsoever. The lefty walked B.J. Upton to lead off the top of the ninth, then fell behind Freddie Freeman before he tapped a grounder to Utley at second base, who flipped to second base to get the lead runner, but he was a hair too late. Diekman walked Justin Upton to load the bases. With his back against the wall, Diekman fired some 97-98 MPH fastballs by Evan Gattis and retired him on strikes for the first out, revealing light at the end of the tunnel. But it was not to be, as Uggla joined Gattis in the two-homer party, crushing a grand slam to left field to give the Braves a 9-6 lead. At the conclusion of the top of the ninth, the Phillies were back down to four percent win probability. This time it stuck. David Carpenter closed out the bottom of the ninth with Craig Kimbrel resting with a sore shoulder.


Source: FanGraphs

Now that the recap is over and we have context, time to get into the meat of the matter:

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