Graph of the Intermittent Time Period

Not a graph, but a chart, showing the locations of Cliff Lee‘s 16 home runs allowed in 144.2 innings this season. He allowed three in six innings yesterday in the series finale against the New York Mets as he was outdueled by Matt Harvey.

15 of the 16 home runs have been to right-handed hitters. The one given up to a lefty was up-and-in curve to Jay Bruce.

Despite the recent rash of home runs — seven in his last two starts — Lee has otherwise been stingy with the long ball, averaging one home run every nine innings, just a hair above his career average 0.9 per nine innings.

The start raised his ERA over 3.00 for the first time since May 6. Lee is having a great season, but it seems to have been lost under the long ball struggles over the last week. He is still averaging about six strikeouts for every one walk — the second-best strikeout-to-walk ratio among all starting pitchers, ahead of even Matt Harvey (5.6). Lee’s 3.08 xFIP, just three-hundredths of a point above his actual ERA, is fifth-best in the National League, 0.01 behind Clayton Kershaw.

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7 comments

  1. LTG

    July 22, 2013 10:07 AM

    Still, we should probably panic and trade him for whatever we can get.

  2. Ryan

    July 22, 2013 10:33 AM

    Hopefully he has a good start or two and raises his value back up to what it was a little bit ago. I know that it really shouldn’t affect his value but it probably does with at least some GMs.

  3. Scott G

    July 22, 2013 10:34 AM

    He’s pitching to not be traded! He’s like Joe Blanton going on the DL two years ago….

  4. bubba0101

    July 22, 2013 11:44 AM

    The important part, LTG, is that we should panic.

  5. Kevin H

    July 22, 2013 03:12 PM

    Lee is a good pitcher but I think the NL East might be on to him- realizing it is skewed by the last two outings. He has 7 starts against the NL East (out of 20) and 11 of his 16 HRs have been hit in those starts. I never understood how he could do so well with the stuff he has and the fact that he just keeps throwing fastball strikes. I think part of it is that he just approaches things differently than every other starter- guys don’t normally expect a hittable fastball on 0-2 counts. I note that 6 of those 11 NL East HRs came with two strikes and 5 of them in the last two games. I haven’t compared that with anything, but that might indicate that the hitters who are familiar with him have figured out they can sit on hittable fastballs with two strikes and do some damage without having to worry about chasing a bad pitch. One of the two non-division hitters who have two strike HRs off of Lee is Pence, who would be very familiar with his approach as well.

  6. Cutter McCool

    July 23, 2013 11:14 PM

    Any chance we can trade Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels for Matt Harvey?

    Kidding but seriously…somebody mickey the mutts GM and make this trade happen.

  7. Phillie697

    July 24, 2013 01:48 AM

    The Mets would laugh you out of the country, let alone their state. You can trade two Cliff Lee’s and 2 Cole Hamels and it wouldn’t be worth Harvey; Matt Harvey is going to produce 10 WAR before Mets pay him $1M; the Phillies will pay $1M for Lee and Hamels before July is over. I don’t think Tony Soprano can convince someone to do this.

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