Phillies Week in Review #13

Record: 3 wins, 4 losses

Standing: 39-44, 3rd place in NL East (9.5 GB)

Top 3 offensive plays (by Win Probability Added, WPA)

  • June 26: Game tied 5-5, top 13th (runners on 1st and 2nd, 2 out): Against Tom Layne, Ben Revere reaches on fielding error by second baseman Logan Forsythe. Chase Utley scores. Domonic Brown reaches on throwing error by Forsythe. (+.451 WPA) [Video]
  • June 26: Phillies trail 3-5, top 8th (runner on 2nd, 2 out): Delmon Young two-run home run to left field off of Luke Gregerson. (+.333 WPA) [Video]
  • June 25: Phillies trail 0-2, top 3rd (runners on 1st and 3rd, 2 out): Domonic Brown three-run home run to right field off of Jason Marquis. (+.322 WPA) [Video]

Bottom 3 offensive plays

  • June 24: Game tied 3-3, top 10th (runner on 3rd, 1 out): Michael Young strikes out against Luke Gregerson. (-.191 WPA)
  • June 29: Phillies trail 2-3, top 8th (bases loaded, 1 out): Carlos Ruiz 5-2 ground ball fielder’s choice against Ronald Belisario. (-.178 WPA)
  • June 29: Phillies trail 2-3, top 8th (bases loaded, 2 out): Kevin Frandsen 6-4 ground ball fielder’s choice against J.P. Howell. (-.174 WPA)

Top 3 pitching/defensive plays

Bottom 3 pitching/defensive plays

  • June 27: Phillies lead 4-3, bottom 7th (bases loaded, 2 out): Yasiel Puig two-run single to left field off of Justin De Fratus. (+.432 WPA) [Video]
  • June 24: Phillies lead 3-2, bottom 9th (runner on 3rd, 2 out): Kyle Blanks scores on passed ball by Carlos Ruiz against Jonathan Papelbon. (+.381 WPA) [Video]
  • June 29: Game tied 3-3, bottom 9th (runners on 1st and 2nd, 1 out): A.J. Ellis walk-off RBI single to right field off of Justin De Fratus. (+.309 WPA) [Video]

Best Hitter: Chase Utley (.400/.471/.867)

Best Starter: Cliff Lee (2 GS, 15.0 IP, 5 ER, 17 K, 4 BB)

Best Reliever: Phillippe Aumont (3 G, 4.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 3 BB)

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9 comments

  1. trill P

    July 01, 2013 07:10 AM

    so… did we drop Ryan Howard off in LA? I was kinda looking around for him

  2. Scott G

    July 01, 2013 07:51 AM

    .977
    .877
    .900
    .950
    .784
    .812

    Those are Chase Utley’s career splits by month.

    Seems to me like he gets worse as the season progresses. Wild assumption, but maybe he wears down as the season goes on. Does anyone else think I might be onto something????

    It’s not like people don’t talk about this in normal conversation when talking about Utley’s production. It’s criminal that Manuel doesn’t force Utley to sit out 1-2 games per week. He rests up and gets healthy, then comes out and hits several home runs on the west coast trip in stadiums that aren’t hitter friendly.

    I complain about Manuel’s in-game strategy to no end, but his biggest fault might be curtailing the (what should have been) Hall of Fame career of one of the best players I have ever seen.

  3. JM

    July 01, 2013 08:14 AM

    De Fratus has not pitched well, but that single to Puig on the 27th was just great hitting. Puig basically threw his bat a slider(?) out of the zone, and it slipped through. I would have liked to see him change Puig’s eye level, but DeFratus made the pitch he meant to make…

  4. Richard

    July 01, 2013 08:32 AM

    “but his biggest fault might be curtailing the (what should have been) Hall of Fame career of one of the best players I have ever seen”

    even if we grant that Utley should have been rested more often – this is silly

    Utley’s thumb injury in 2010 and his knee condition have nothing to do with Manuel’s usage, and they are the most obvious factors in the apparent diminishment of his career

  5. Scott G

    July 01, 2013 09:04 AM

    Utley’s thumb doesn’t seem to be hampering him. Doesn’t his knee condition affect him as he’s used more? Hence resting him would give his knees a break?

    Also, he constantly plays so hard they he wears down and injures himself. So, wouldn’t more rest give him less opportunity to hurt him and keep his body fresh?

  6. Austin

    July 01, 2013 12:30 PM

    I’m not opposed to resting Utley more because his style of play certainly could lead to him wearing down as the season goes on. However I’m not sure that’s the entire story as far as the declining numbers in August/September is concerned.

    Utley’s last two seasons have been easily his worst (by OPS) since he became an everyday player. In both of those seasons he didn’t play at all until halfway through the summer. So for the first half of those seasons his April/May/June career OPS remained unchanged because he was on the bench, and then his second-half career OPS got pulled down by him being less effective when he returned.

  7. Scott G

    July 01, 2013 02:00 PM

    Fair point. In Sept of 08 and 09, Utley’s numbers dropped off from the previous months. If you look at the game logs for the post season, in 08:

    Utley struggled in the NLDS before getting 3 days off and picking it up in the NLCS. They had a week off between the NLCS and the World Series, and he did extremely well in the World Series.

    In ’09, Utley had a terrible September and pretty much destroyed the competition throughout every round of the playoffs.

    Yes, these are small sample sizes, but given that his April numbers are usually pretty good, and combining the postseason results) with more scattered games in general and long rest periods between series, it seems like he is either very fresh or prepares well with time off.

    Let’s give him more time off.

  8. adam_S

    July 01, 2013 02:39 PM

    RAJ needs to go ahead and trade Utley to a an AL team while his stock is up and he looks healthy. Utley has sentimental value to the Phillies fanbase but if he can play DH it will extend his career and then maybe he could walk into the HOF one day with a Phillies hat on. The Phightins need to pull a Sixers and blowup it up to rebuild and that includes trading the best player we’ve been blessed to watch this century.

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