2013 Predictions with the Crashburn Staff

With the regular season just hours away from starting, it’s time for the Crashburn Alley staff to reveal their 2013 season predictions. We will pick over/unders, division standings, and end-of-season awards. Feel free to let us know where you think we’ll be dead wrong and where you think we got it right using the comments below.

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2013 Bold Prediction: Ryan Sommers

Roy Halladay will pitch at least 180 innings with an ERA+ of 120 or better.

A year ago, this would’ve been included in a list of “Guaranteed Outcomes for 2012.” Then everything got dumb and sad. In this scary, unfamiliar new world of the Dumb And Sad, where the Phillies are likely to be scrabbling for a second wild card spot, and Roy Halladay has spent the spring developing a piece of J.A. Happ performance art, this prediction now qualifies as bold. So bold, in fact, that I can’t say I have much in the way of supporting evidence for it. But allow me to plead with the mighty BaseBa’al for a moment.

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More on the Phillies’ Approach to Data-Driven Analysis

The Inquirer’s Matt Gelb has a great piece up on Philly.com, going in-depth with lots of quotes on the Phillies’ approach to statistical analysis. It confirms the short sound bites and anecdotes we’ve been hearing throughout the off-season.

I won’t excerpt too much of it, since you should reward Gelb’s hard work with a click-through, but I do want to highlight the current roles of two people the Phillies hired to do analysis:

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Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 Prospects

Well I’ve just sort of decided to take over the site today. Prepare yourselves, this is quite long. One thing to keep in mind is that this list will be obsolete by mid-May. Things change, players develop or get hurt or regress or get traded. Feel free to ask questions in the comments section. I’ll get to as many as is humanly possible. You may proceed.

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2013 Bold Prediction: Paul Boye

It’s difficult to imagine life before – or without – Chase Utley manning second base for the Phillies. Even as he battled through numerous injuries, his absence was constantly noticed and discussed. There was no settling period. It certainly didn’t help that his fill-ins were, in some order and volume, Juan Castro, Mike Fontenot, Michael Martinez, Pete Orr, Cody Ransom and Wilson Valdez. Even Freddy Galvis’s slick glove wasn’t quite enough to make us all forget that, no, that still wasn’t Chase out there.

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