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Graph of the Intermittent Time Period

Posted By Bill Baer On February 8, 2013 @ 8:05 am In Graphs,MLB,Philadelphia Phillies,Sabermetrics | 7 Comments

Just a quick look at Phillies players’ projected weighted on-base average (wOBA; via ZiPS at FanGraphs), how they fared in 2012, and how they compared to the 2012 National League average at their position:

The data:

Player Pos ZiPS PosAvg 2012 ZiPS RAA
Domonic Brown LF .337 .323 .309 13.5
Ryan Howard 1B .327 .328 .303 11.6
Freddy Galvis SS .289 .302 .267 10.6
Delmon Young RF .317 .331 .305 5.8
Michael Young 3B .309 .327 .297 5.8
John Mayberry LF .309 .323 .303 2.9
Jimmy Rollins SS .324 .302 .322 1.0
Chase Utley 2B .344 .307 .342 1.0
Ben Revere CF .300 .318 .300 0.0
Laynce Nix RF .296 .331 .317 -10.1
Erik Kratz C .312 .315 .339 -13.0
Carlos Ruiz C .340 .315 .398 -28.0
Kevin Frandsen 3B .290 .327 .362 -34.7
Darin Ruf LF .321 .323 .428 -51.6

“ZiPS RAA” compares the player’s projected wOBA to their 2012 output, then converts it into runs above or below average per 600 plate appearances. Players like Darin Ruf were included despite the small sample size, so just be cognizant of the amount of plate appearances each player had. Nine of the 14 included players are expected to improve. The biggest changes are on the negative end, though, with Ruiz and Frandsen falling hard after career years.

This is a similar table but comparing the players’ projected wOBA to the 2012 NL average at their position:

Player ZiPS RAA
Chase Utley 17.8
Carlos Ruiz 12.0
Jimmy Rollins 10.6
Domonic Brown 6.7
Ryan Howard -0.5
Darin Ruf -1.0
Erik Kratz -1.4
Freddy Galvis -6.3
Delmon Young -6.7
John Mayberry -6.7
Michael Young -8.7
Ben Revere -8.7
Laynce Nix -16.9
Kevin Frandsen -17.8

Fortunately, Frandsen isn’t expected to get too much playing time and neither is Nix. Ben Revere will have to make up for his weak bat with solid defense and base running. Only five players grade out above the league positional average, which is disappointing but also not surprising in the slightest, given the uninspiring off-season the Phillies have had.


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