Graph of the Intermittent Time Period

Just a quick look at Phillies players’ projected weighted on-base average (wOBA; via ZiPS at FanGraphs), how they fared in 2012, and how they compared to the 2012 National League average at their position:

The data:

Player Pos ZiPS PosAvg 2012 ZiPS RAA
Domonic Brown LF .337 .323 .309 13.5
Ryan Howard 1B .327 .328 .303 11.6
Freddy Galvis SS .289 .302 .267 10.6
Delmon Young RF .317 .331 .305 5.8
Michael Young 3B .309 .327 .297 5.8
John Mayberry LF .309 .323 .303 2.9
Jimmy Rollins SS .324 .302 .322 1.0
Chase Utley 2B .344 .307 .342 1.0
Ben Revere CF .300 .318 .300 0.0
Laynce Nix RF .296 .331 .317 -10.1
Erik Kratz C .312 .315 .339 -13.0
Carlos Ruiz C .340 .315 .398 -28.0
Kevin Frandsen 3B .290 .327 .362 -34.7
Darin Ruf LF .321 .323 .428 -51.6

“ZiPS RAA” compares the player’s projected wOBA to their 2012 output, then converts it into runs above or below average per 600 plate appearances. Players like Darin Ruf were included despite the small sample size, so just be cognizant of the amount of plate appearances each player had. Nine of the 14 included players are expected to improve. The biggest changes are on the negative end, though, with Ruiz and Frandsen falling hard after career years.

This is a similar table but comparing the players’ projected wOBA to the 2012 NL average at their position:

Player ZiPS RAA
Chase Utley 17.8
Carlos Ruiz 12.0
Jimmy Rollins 10.6
Domonic Brown 6.7
Ryan Howard -0.5
Darin Ruf -1.0
Erik Kratz -1.4
Freddy Galvis -6.3
Delmon Young -6.7
John Mayberry -6.7
Michael Young -8.7
Ben Revere -8.7
Laynce Nix -16.9
Kevin Frandsen -17.8

Fortunately, Frandsen isn’t expected to get too much playing time and neither is Nix. Ben Revere will have to make up for his weak bat with solid defense and base running. Only five players grade out above the league positional average, which is disappointing but also not surprising in the slightest, given the uninspiring off-season the Phillies have had.

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7 comments

  1. TomG

    February 08, 2013 01:45 PM

    Wow. I have this place all to myself! It’s sooooo roomy. Did someone get murdered in here? Is that why no one else seems to be interested in it? I’m not going to invest a perfectly good comment in it only to find out later that, e.g., the walls leak the blood of the family of innocents who were slaughtered in here as their way of crying out for vengeance for their unsolved murder, am I? Or worse, that Delmon Young will be my next door neighbor.

    You have to disclose. There are laws.

  2. Pencilfish

    February 08, 2013 01:47 PM

    How are the wOBA for 2013 projected? If it is based on past performance or career averages, then how do FanGraphs or anyone else project it for young players like Brown and Ruf with little major league experience?

    It would be useful if you also posted the projected wOBA for 2012. It would help us judge how reliable these projections are.

  3. TomG

    February 08, 2013 01:49 PM

    I am no longer interested in this property.

    Pencilfish? It’s all yours.

  4. Topdown1

    February 09, 2013 01:34 AM

    ……….”Ben Revere will have to make up for his weak bat with solid defense “………..The guy hit .294 with 40 stolen bases. Why do I keep reading that he has a weak bat? He should be leading off. When the Phillies turn over the team, and they’ll need to do it before they ever contend again, at 24 years of age, Revere will be one of the few keepers.

  5. Phillie697

    February 11, 2013 02:17 PM

    “The guy hit .294 with 40 stolen bases. Why do I keep reading that he has a weak bat?”

    I didn’t know you use your bat to steal bases. I must have been watching a different kind of baseball game than you do.

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