Greetings From Clearwater – April 27

Originally written by Bradley Ankrom.

It was an interesting week for Phillies pitching prospects, to say the least. Jesse Biddle and Brody Colvin continued to confound while Trevor May continued his domination of Double-A hitters. At Lakewood, Lino Martinez turned in the worst pitching line of any Phillies farmhand this year, done in by eight-consecutive hits that resulted in a nine-run fourth inning last Friday.

PLAYER

LVL

AGE

W-L

ERA

WHIP

G-GS

SV

IP

H

HR

SO-BB

BABIP

P. Aumont, rhp

AAA

23

0-0

4.32

1.56

8-0

4

8.3

6

1

13-7

.312

J. Biddle, lhp

A+

20

0-2

5.71

1.79

4-4

0

17.3

22

2

20-9

.377

L. Bonilla, rhp

A+

22

1-1

1.59

0.97

8-0

1

11.3

9

0

17-2

.346

D. Buchanan, rhp

AA

23

1-1

2.16

1.00

4-4

0

25.0

18

2

19-7

.239

M. Cisco, rhp

AA

25

1-1

1.17

1.43

5-0

0

7.7

9

0

8-2

.409

T. Cloyd, rhp

AA

25

3-0

2.37

1.11

3-3

0

19.0

21

1

13-0

.333

T. Cloyd, rhp

AAA

25

1-0

0.00

0.00

1-1

0

6.0

0

0

8-0

.000

B. Colvin, rhp

A+

21

0-2

4.43

1.38

4-4

0

20.3

23

1

13-5

.324

J. De Fratus, rhp

A+

24

0-0

0.00

1.00

1-1

0

1.0

1

0

0-0

.250

J. Diekman, lhp

AAA

25

0-0

0.93

1.34

8-0

3

9.7

12

0

14-1

.480

R. Duke, rhp

A

23

0-2

3.38

1.25

6-0

3

8.0

8

1

10-2

.333

F. Gailey, lhp

A+

26

0-0

13.50

2.70

4-0

0

3.3

7

0

5-2

.538

P. Garner, rhp

A+

23

0-1

3.95

1.76

3-3

0

13.7

14

0

9-10

.311

M. Hollands, lhp

A

23

0-0

9.00

2.67

1-0

0

3.0

5

0

3-3

.500

A. Hyatt, rhp

AAA

26

2-1

2.53

1.45

4-4

0

21.3

22

0

16-9

.319

J. Johnson, lhp

AA

22

0-0

4.15

1.62

5-0

0

4.3

6

0

6-1

.500

T. Knigge, rhp

A+

23

0-0

0.00

0.67

7-0

0

9.0

4

0

6-2

.190

E. Manzanillo, lhp

A

20

0-1

6.75

2.19

4-4

0

16.0

27

1

10-8

.406

L. Martinez, lhp

A

20

2-1

8.55

1.80

4-4

0

20.0

28

4

11-8

.333

T. May, rhp

AA

22

4-0

2.35

0.87

4-4

0

23.0

12

0

26-8

.222

B. Morgado, lhp

A

23

1-0

4.82

1.93

5-0

0

9.3

11

1

9-7

.370

A. Morgan, lhp

A+

22

0-1

3.42

1.18

4-3

0

23.7

23

0

27-5

.365

C. Murray, rhp

A

22

0-1

11.88

2.52

6-0

0

8.3

15

1

5-6

.412

M. Nesseth, rhp

A

24

1-1

6.60

2.00

4-4

0

15.0

15

0

12-15

.333

J. Pettibone, rhp

AA

21

1-2

4.24

1.76

4-4

0

23.3

33

1

9-8

.381

J. Ramirez, rhp

AA

23

0-1

5.23

1.84

6-0

0

10.3

11

1

8-8

.294

J. Rodriguez, rhp

AA

21

1-0

3.21

1.50

3-3

0

14.0

13

0

10-8

.283

B. Rosenberg, rhp

AA

26

1-0

1.12

0.88

5-0

3

8.0

5

1

10-2

.211

B. Rosenberg, rhp

AAA

26

0-0

7.71

1.71

1-0

0

2.3

3

1

1-1

.286

J. Savery, lhp

MLB

26

0-0

1.59

0.53

4-0

0

5.7

2

1

1-1

.056

J. Savery, lhp

AAA

26

0-0

0.00

0.75

2-0

1

2.7

2

0

3-0

.250

M. Schwimer, rhp

MLB

26

0-0

0.00

0.00

1-0

0

1.0

0

0

0-0

.000

M. Schwimer, rhp

AAA

26

1-0

1.04

1.38

7-0

2

8.7

9

1

9-3

.308

C. Shreve, rhp

A

24

2-1

3.60

1.27

6-0

0

15.0

12

2

16-7

.294

J. Sosa, rhp

A+

22

0-1

6.23

1.04

7-0

0

8.7

9

2

9-0

.280

E. Stewart, lhp

A

21

0-1

1.33

1.18

4-4

0

20.3

14

1

19-10

.245

A. Wright, lhp

A+

22

3-0

2.81

1.38

3-2

0

16.0

14

0

23-8

.359

Jesse Biddle

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/26

DAY

6.0

4

2

1

1

4

4

1.36

The second-best pitching prospect in the Phillies organization had arguably the best start of his young season last night at home against Daytona, scattering four hits over six innings and avoiding his third-straight loss. The frenzy on the base paths continued, however, as Biddle and catcher Cameron Rupp allowed three stolen bases in three tries, though only one Daytona runner came around to score. That runner, Matt Szczur, likely would have been stranded had Biddle not made a throwing error and allowed him to advance to third on the play.

David Buchanan

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/26

RIC

6.0

3

1

1

0

5

4

1.22

Buchanan put nine Flying Squirrels on base via hit, walk, or hit-by-pitch last night, but managed to get through six innings of one-run ball. Buchanan’s quintuplet of walks was three more than he had allowed through his first three starts of the season and matched a career-high. Though he’s averaged a baserunner per inning through four starts, all four of those starts were quality in nature (at least six innings and three or fewer earned runs allowed).

Tyler Cloyd

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/24

RIC

W

7.0

5

0

0

0

0

5

0.82

82-58

Seven shutout innings against Richmond on April 24 enabled Cloyd to win his fourth-consecutive game, and his third since being demoted to Double-A Reading. Cloyd rebounded from a shaky start at Richmond on April 16 – in which he allowed 10 hits and three runs over six innings – to ground the Flying Squirrels. (Note: three of the pitchers we’ll talk about today made starts against Richmond last week, and I’m inclined to refer to their nickname, the Flying Squirrels, as often as possible. I love minor league baseball.)

Brody Colvin

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/25

DAY

L

4.1

7

5

5

1

2

3

1.56

It appeared as through Colvin had turned a corner when he shut down Tampa on two hits and six strikeouts in six innings on April 17, but he failed to get out fo the fifth inning against Daytona on Wednesday night. Colvin allowed a season-high five runs and surrendered seven hits for the third time in four appearances.

Austin Hyatt

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/22

@ROC

L

5.0

6

3

2

0

1

3

0.62

76-57

Hyatt has thrown at least five innings and given up two or fewer earned runs in each of his four starts for the IronPigs this season. After averaging more than 11 strikeouts per nine innings through Double-A, Hyatt’s whiff rate has plummeted by nearly 40 percent at Triple-A, where he’s struck out 16 in 21.1 innings (6.76 SO/9). He’s also putting more runners on base via walk, issuing 3.80 free passes per nine innings this year compared to his pre-2012 career rate of 2.68. If you’re looking for a silver lining, consider that after placing second in the Eastern League with 20 home runs allowed in 2011, Hyatt has yet to surrender a longball this year.

Ervis Manzanillo

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/24

ASH

5.0

8

4

4

1

1

3

1.11

Manzanillo made it through five innings for the second time this year, but it wasn’t pretty. Through 16 innnings, the young Venezuelan has allowed 36 base runners, though his 4.5 BB/9 is actually a marked improvement over his 5.4 rate in 2011. Though he’s repeating the level, he’s still young for the South Atlantic League and has plenty of time to work on his command.

Lino Martinez

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/20

@HAG

L

3.1

14

12

12

3

1

1

0.92

A nine-run fourth inning blew open a relatively-close game and chased Martinez after he retired only 10 of the 25 Hagerstown batters he faced on April 20. Seven-consecutive Suns batters reached base via hit before an Adrian Nieto three-run homer cleared the bases and gave Hagerstown an 11-1 lead. Martinez was finally able to secure an out when J.P. Ramirez was retired on a fly ball to left field, but that was followed by a Brett Newsome solo home run to center field. Ryan Sasaki relieved Martinez after the Newsome homer, and induced a pair of ground ball outs to escape the inning.

It’s fair to say Martinez’s 2012 season has been a roller coaster to this point:

4/5 @ GVL (ND): 5.2 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 4 SO
4/10 @ GBO (W): 5.0 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 6 BB, 2 SO
4/15 vs. HAG (W): 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 4 SO
4/20 @ HAG (L): 3.1 IP, 14 H, 12 ER, 1 BB, 1 SO

Trevor May

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/25

RIC

W

6.0

1

0

0

0

2

7

0.75

90-55

Another week, another stellar performance from the Phillies’ top prospect, who struck out seven Richmond batters over six innings while allowing only three base runners (one hit, two walks) in the win on April 25. May entered the year having averaged 7.0 H/9 through 375.2 career innings, but has cut that rate down even further to 4.7 at Double-A. For comparison’s sake, the National League’s top three pitchers in H/9 last year were Clayton Kershaw (6.7), Cole Hamels (7.0), and Matt Cain (7.2). May’s rough season debut, in which he allowed four runs in five innings, mars his overall season line. In his three starts since, May has struck out 20, walked five, and given up nine hits over 18 innings, compiling an 0.90 ERA over that stretch.

Adam Morgan

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/24

BRV

7.0

4

0

0

0

2

6

0.74

96-63

A six-strikeout performance against Brevard County on April 24 gave Morgan 27 whiffs on the year, a total which currently paces the Florida State League. Morgan rebounded from a loss on April 16 in which he allowed five runs on eight hits at Tampa.

Mike Nesseth

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/25

ASH

4.1

1

2

2

0

6

5

0.50

Nesseth set a new season-high with five strikeouts against Asheville on Wednesday, though he failed to escape the fifth inning for the third time in four tries. After walking five Greensboro batters in his previous start, Nesseth walked six Tourists, giving him 15 walks through 15 innings this year.

Jonathan Pettibone

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/21

AKR

L

5.0

7

5

5

0

4

2

1.48

96-63

After four starts, it’s safe to start drawing some conclusions about Pettibone’s hittability versus advanced batters. Entering the year, Pettibone had allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings over four seasons, but he’s allowed at least seven hits in each of his four Double-A starts this year and carries a 12.8 H/9 on the year. Right-handed hitters are teeing off at a .382/.408/.471 clip through 71 plate appearances.

Julio Rodriguez

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/20

AKR

3.0

4

2

2

0

3

3

0.57

80-46

Rodriguez labored through three innings against Akron on April 20, exiting after three innings, three walks, four hits, a hit batsman, and two earned runs. He was spared the loss when Reading came back to tie the game in the ninth inning and defeating the Aeros on Steve Susdorf’s game-winning double in the bottom of the tenth. In his three innings, Rodriguez averaged 4.7 pitches per batter. It was also the second-consecutive game in which the 21-year-old had hit a batter with a pitch.

Ethan Stewart

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/26

ASH

4.0

4

1

1

0

3

3

1.11

Stewart hasn’t given up more than four hits in any of his four starts this year, but is still seeking his first win after averaging just over five innings per start. He only lasted four innings last night, striking out a season-low three Asheville batters.

Austin Wright

DATE

OPP

DEC

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

GO/AO

PIT-ST

4/22

BRV

W

5.0

4

2

2

0

3

10

1.50

With 23 strikeouts through his first 16 innings, the former Mississippi hurler is making a strong case for a quick promotion out of the Florida State League. Wright matched his career-best with 10 strikeouts in the win on April 22, his third-consecutive winning decision. He’s proven effective against hitters from both sides of the plate, for the moment silencing critics who believe his ultimate destination will be the bullpen.

Leave a Reply

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11 comments

  1. Robin

    April 27, 2012 01:38 PM

    Your ERA for Biddle doesn’t include last night’s game, which dropped it substantially.

  2. Bradley Ankrom

    April 27, 2012 01:44 PM

    @Robin
    You are correct, our stats hadn’t updated when I grabbed these this morning. Fixed now.

  3. Brian

    April 27, 2012 01:49 PM

    what do you think happens with Trevor May over the course of this season, into next season? Straight to MLB? or some time in AAA?

  4. Bradley Ankrom

    April 27, 2012 02:00 PM

    @Brian
    More often than ever, blue-chip prospects are skipping Triple-A entirely and jumping from Double-A to the majors. I’ve been saying that Philadelphia’s pitching depth would enable them to let May thrive at Double-A all year, calling him up to make his debut when rosters expand. Kyle Kendrick’s struggles have caused me to reconsider that stance, however. I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if the Phillies brought him up to take one of Kendrick’s turns in the rotation, but I doubt they would call him up and ask him to serve as a swingman (he hasn’t pitched out of the bullpen since 2010).

    For 2013, I think he’s likely in the rotation to begin the year, especially if Hamels departs via free agency. Even if Hamels is resigned, I feel it’s likely that they would try to move one of Blanton or Kendrick to open up a top-four rotation spot for May.

  5. Bxe1234

    April 27, 2012 02:36 PM

    So is the thinking that Bonilla is done as a starter or he may come back into the rotation later in the year like he did last year? He’s good out of the pen, but if he can cut it as a starter like he did last year, why move him? It’s just hurting his ability to develop his pitches. Unless they plan to promote him quickly via the pen and not worry about maximizing his value.

  6. Brian

    April 27, 2012 04:48 PM

    Letting trevor may stay in AA all year sounds smart. wish we could dump blanton and let May pitch here at least half the year though. then we know what we have, especially if it looks like we aren’t resigning hamels. Halladay, lee, worley, may, 5th man sounds good to me. wouldn’t skip a beat. add hamels to that and lights out.

  7. LTG

    April 27, 2012 05:29 PM

    Why is De Fratus in A+? Am I crazy or is that weird?

  8. Bradley Ankrom

    April 27, 2012 05:39 PM

    @LTG
    Rehab.

    @Bxe1234
    I haven’t heard whether they plan to move him into the rotation later in the year, but he’s got the stuff to make it either way. He’s got a small frame, so they may be taking it easy on him early on.

  9. Brian

    April 27, 2012 05:40 PM

    @LTG i didn’t even know De Fratus was off the DL yet, but they might be starting him there, since he hasn’t really pitched yet this year.

  10. LTG

    April 27, 2012 05:43 PM

    Right. I forgot about the injury, which is a kind of craziness. Not a dangerous kind thankfully.

  11. Dan K.

    April 27, 2012 06:18 PM

    The JDF injury may not be dangerous, but he has been shut down for another month…

    Per Bonilla, the common thought amongst people (not scouts or anyone with extra insight, really) is that they’re just limiting his innings.

    Regarding May… Awesome. Not much else needs to be said.

    I’m also excited about Morgan and Wright. A combined 50 K’s to 13 BB’s over 39 and 2/3 innings from LHP… Do want.

    And speaking of LHP, count me amongst those not worried about Biddle. He’s a notoriously slow starter, and what really matters for now is that he keeps the K’s up and the BB’s down. The K’s are definitely still there and the BB’s, while a little higher than ideal, are manageable so far.

    Misc. notes:

    Cloyd is definitely starting to turn heads.
    Aumont’s wildness of late is worrying for those of us hoping he’d be called up sooner rather than later.
    Diekman is unfair to lefties.
    Colvin is worrying me.
    Garner needs to cut it out with the walks.

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