DVD Contest Winners

Last week, I introduced a contest in which five lucky contestants would each win a “Baseball’s Greatest Games: Wrigley Field Slugfest” DVD, which features this memorable 23-22 game between the Phillies and Cubs on May 17, 1979. The contest entailed predicting the performance of the Phillies’ starting rotation over the next seven days using Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP).

Here are the results, followed by the winners.

Date Name HR BB K IP FIP
8-Sep Hamels 2 2 2 9.0 6.31
9-Sep Halladay 0 3 9 8.0 2.08
10-Sep Lee 0 2 7 7.0 2.06
11-Sep Worley 0 1 7 6.7 1.55
12-Sep Oswalt 1 2 2 7.0 5.34
13-Sep Hamels 1 1 6 5.0 4.00
14-Sep Halladay 0 1 7 9.0 1.98
TOTAL 4 12 40 51.7 3.35

The winners (closest without going over):

  1. Nick M., 3.34 FIP
  2. Nick M., 3.33 FIP
  3. Radu, 3.31 FIP
  4. Max B, 3.29 FIP
  5. Santos, 3.24 FIP

(It is quite the coincidence that two Nick M’s placed in the top-two, but I’ve traced the IP addresses of both to vastly different locations and can verify that they are not duplicate entrants.)

I have sent emails to the five of you. Reply back to me with your mailing address and I will immediately forward it to the representative from A+E Home Entertainment. For the rest of you, if you didn’t win, you can still purchase a copy of the DVD by clicking here.

For fun, let’s look at the tie-breaker, which was the number of wins the Phillies would won against the Brewers and Astros. They took four of seven, with the average of all entrants coming out to 4.6 and the mode (most common entry) was 5. The average FIP, by the way, was 3.11 (just adding up all of the entries and dividing them by the sample size).

I would like to give a big “thank you!” to A+E Home Entertainment for being kind enough to offer me a few DVDs to hand out to you guys. Hopefully in the future, we’ll be able to come up with some more contests — I’ll try to be more creative in the future.

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9 comments

  1. Curtwill

    September 14, 2011 04:50 PM

    So Roy LOWERS his FIP. What is it now? 2.05 of something of that nature? That’s sick.

  2. LTG

    September 14, 2011 05:04 PM

    And look at that HR/FB%!

  3. Rob

    September 14, 2011 06:49 PM

    Thanks Bill

  4. Rob

    September 14, 2011 06:59 PM

    Roy’s fip/xfip/siera are unreal, but it’s crazy how close he and Kershaw are in everything else.

    Same record, ERA within .02 of each other, within 6 IP, 20 fewer BB for Halladay, 25 more Ks for Kershaw.

    If Lee can pull another shutout, he’ll have the same ERA and IP as Halladay.

    Tough Cy Young vote.

  5. buzzsaw

    September 14, 2011 09:37 PM

    Roy, you owe me 1 DVD

  6. Jon

    September 15, 2011 10:15 AM

    Can you explain how you got those numbers? I am new to this, so please forgive me if I am missing something.

    FIP = [(13*HR)+(3*BB)-(2*K)] / IP + 3.1
    FIP = [(13*4)+(3*12)-(2*40)] / 51.7 + 3.1 = 3.25

    I’m consistently 0.1 lower for all the FIP numvers posted above.

    Thanks for your help.

  7. Richard

    September 15, 2011 11:02 AM

    Not a great FIP stretch for Hamels.

    Btw, I think it’s amusing you were using FIP in a contest giving away DVDs to a game that was likely chock full of some awful FIPpery.

  8. Buzzsaw

    September 15, 2011 11:31 AM

    to be more specific, Roy Halladay owes me a DVD.

    Roy Oswalt came through as i’d expected.

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