Archive for September, 2011

STL/PHI NLDS Series Preview

by Bill Baer on Friday, September 30th, 2011
Posted in 2011 Playoffs, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics, Series Preview | 16 Comments »


Bill Petti (@BillPetti) of Amazin' Avenue and Beyond the Box Score was nice enough to share his Saber-stat series preview graphic. It's pretty snazzy. Click on the image to view a much larger version. The graphic shows that the Cardinals are ...

The Phillies and Platoon Splits

by Bill Baer on Thursday, September 29th, 2011
Posted in 2011 Playoffs, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 8 Comments »


After the Phillies won the NL East and clinched home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, fans began to play matchmaker. Would the Phillies rather play the lefty-heavy Arizona Diamondbacks, or the Milwaukee Brewers' wealth of right-handed hitters? The Phillies will enter ...

Baseball Is Awesome

by Bill Baer on Thursday, September 29th, 2011
Posted in MLB | 11 Comments »


If you missed last's action around the league, let's let the win probability graphs from FanGraphs do the talking: Starting with Phillies-Braves... The St. Louis Cardinals, vying with the Braves for the NL Wild Card, beat the pulp out of the Houston ...

Graph of the Intermittent Time Period

by Bill Baer on Wednesday, September 28th, 2011
Posted in 2011 Playoffs, Graphs, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 11 Comments »


Over at the Sweet Spot blog, David Schoenfield takes a stab at how the post-season rotations will line up. The Phillies will need to wait until the end of the day to be assigned an opponent, but regardless of which ...

The Cost of Loyalty

by Ryan Sommers on Tuesday, September 27th, 2011
Posted in 2011 Playoffs, Graphs, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 31 Comments »


The graph below takes Raul Ibanez and John Mayberry, Jr.'s performances in favorable (vs. opposite-handed pitching) and unfavorable (vs. same-handed pitching) platoon scenarios and compares them to an average NL batter in those same splits. Notes: wXB/H is ...

On Worrying

by Bill Baer on Monday, September 26th, 2011
Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies | 26 Comments »


The Phillies ended an eight-game losing streak yesterday, running over the Mets 9-4. The city of Philadelphia let out a collective sigh of relief as the Phillies may actually get to 100 wins after all. Over the course of the ...

Technical Difficulties

by Bill Baer on Sunday, September 25th, 2011
Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments »


Last night around 4 AM ET, Crashburn Alley, along with several other websites hosted by InMotion Hosting, was hacked. It looked something similar to what is shown in this video: The blog has been restored and everything should be good to ...

The Davey Lopes Effect Redux

by Bill Baer on Friday, September 23rd, 2011
Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 3 Comments »


Prior to the 2010 season, in a season preview for The Hardball Times, I examined how first base coach Davey Lopes helped improve the Phillies' running game. Specifically, he helped in three ways: overall aggressiveness, increased aggression in stealing third ...

The Decline of Chase Utley

by Bill Baer on Friday, September 23rd, 2011
Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 22 Comments »


As the Phillies' B-team continues to slide, currently on a six-game losing streak after clinching the NL East, fans are beginning to worry if the Phillies will have what it takes to win 11 games in post-season baseball. A week ...

Why I Love This Game

by Paul Boye on Friday, September 23rd, 2011
Posted in Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 6 Comments »


In the summer of 2006, I didn't know any better. Well, that's not entirely true. I thought I knew better. I thought what I knew about baseball was all there was to know. I figured a hitter was probably best judged ...