Phillies Opening Day 2011

It’s Christmas morning, the Fourth of July, Thanksgiving, and New Year’s Eve all rolled into one: it’s Opening Day at Citizens Bank Park. If you’re not stoked, you are a soulless, heartless being. Roy Halladay will attempt to start the Phillies off on the right foot and defend his 2010 National League Cy Young award against the Houston Astros. Brett Myers will toe the rubber for the Astros, looking to exact revenge against his former team.

Despite a continued battle with injuries, the Phillies are much more optimistic than the Astros going into 2011. They are looking to earn a division title for the fifth year in a row with what may become the greatest starting rotation in baseball history. The Astros are coming off of their second consecutive sub-.500 season and don’t have too much to look forward to this year. Their second-highest paid player actually plays for the Phillies: Roy Oswalt.

Lots of tables to follow to help preview the series, including both a look into the past and a look into the future. Use the comments below as an open thread for today’s game and this series in general. If you’re going to the game today, bring a space heater!

2010 Overall W-L RS RA Pythag Finish
Houston Astros 76-86 611 729 68-94 5th, NLC
Philadelphia Phillies 97-65 772 640 95-67 1st, NLE

 

2010 Offense AVG OBP SLG ISO wOBA
Houston Astros .247 .303 .362 .115 .296
Philadelphia Phillies .260 .332 .413 .153 .328

 

2010 Pitching SP ERA SP K/9 SP BB/9 RP ERA RP K/9 RP BB/9
Houston Astros 3.90 7.9 3.5 4.49 6.9 3.3
Philadelphia Phillies 3.55 7.0 2.1 4.02 8.1 3.8

 

2011 PECOTA Projections
Player AVG OBP SLG
Michael Bourn .250 .317 .332
Angel Sanchez .253 .301 .325
Hunter Pence .272 .324 .453
Carlos Lee .268 .318 .448
Chris Johnson .266 .300 .422
Brett Wallace .249 .311 .403
Bill Hall .223 .290 .391
Humberto Quintero .235 .271 .334

 

2011 PECOTA Projections
Player AVG OBP SLG
Shane Victorino .273 .336 .423
Placido Polanco .282 .325 .375
Jimmy Rollins .257 .316 .417
Ryan Howard .262 .351 .528
Raul Ibanez .260 .330 .439
Ben Francisco .259 .324 .423
Carlos Ruiz .259 .349 .391
Wilson Valdez .258 .309 .333

 

2011 PECOTA Projections
Player IP ERA K/9 BB/9 GB%
Brett Myers 159.1 3.99 7.4 2.9 48%
Wandy Rodriguez 181.2 3.87 7.7 3.0 46%
J.A. Happ 144.2 4.35 7.2 4.0 42%

 

2011 PECOTA Projections
Player IP ERA K/9 BB/9 GB%
Roy Halladay 239.2 3.05 6.9 1.4 51%
Cliff Lee 211.1 3.17 6.8 1.6 44%
Roy Oswalt 209.1 3.44 6.7 2.2 48%
  • Friday, April 1: Brett Myers @ Roy Halladay, 1:05 PM ET
    • Myers career vs. PHI: 7 IP, 2.57 ERA, 9 K, 1 BB, 1 HR
    • Halladay career vs. HOU: 16 IP, 1.69 ERA, 14 K, 0 BB, 2 HR
  • Saturday, April 2: Wandy Rodriguez @ Cliff Lee, 7:05 PM ET
    • Rodriguez career vs. PHI: 20.2 IP, 3.05 ERA, 20 K, 4 BB, 3 HR
    • Lee career vs. HOU: 8.2 IP, 9.35 ERA, 9 K, 1 BB, 2 HR
  • Sunday, April 3: J.A. Happ @ Roy Oswalt, 1:35 PM ET
    • Happ career vs. PHI: 6.1 IP, 2.84 ERA, 4 K, 2 BB, 1 HR
    • Oswalt career vs. HOU: N/A

If you’re interested in information from behind enemy lines, check out Austin’s Astros 290 Blog, a fellow member of ESPN’s Sweet Spot blog network.

Leave a Reply

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14 comments

  1. charles

    April 01, 2011 07:40 AM

    i’m compelled to nitpick. i believe the phrase is “exact revenge”

  2. Bill Baer

    April 01, 2011 07:45 AM

    Hmm, I googled and I didn’t find any conclusive answers. Grammar nerds are invited to chime in.

    EDIT: After a brief Twitter survey, I’ve made the appropriate adjustment. Thanks for pointing out the error.

  3. Dan P

    April 01, 2011 07:57 AM

    I think the Pythag may be wrong on that first table ….

  4. Brian

    April 01, 2011 08:41 AM

    I’m going to predict the Phillies win 2 of 3 in this series, taking Halladay & Lee’s starts and losing Oswalts. Of course that means the Astros will win Happ’s start, which should make FanSince09 happy.

  5. Matt P.

    April 01, 2011 08:52 AM

    Looking forward to another great season of Crashburn. Happy Opening Day, Bill.

  6. Matt P.

    April 01, 2011 09:44 AM

    First time since I think ’06 that I’m not going to make it down.

  7. Jesse

    April 01, 2011 11:09 AM

    If your googling was inconclusive, you should go with the 3rd party candidate “extract revenge”…

  8. Scott G

    April 01, 2011 01:03 PM

    I love that they still have no plate discipline. Take a damn pitch. Halladay has thrown 57 pitches, and Myers has thrown 36. Absurd. Ohhhh, that’s right Werth and Utley aren’t in the lineup.

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