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Trade Deadline Primer

Posted By Bill Baer On July 6, 2010 @ 12:56 pm In Media,MLB,Philadelphia Phillies,Sabermetrics | 5 Comments

With the 2010 MLB trading deadline on the horizon, TwinsCentric has led a rag-tag group of bloggers on a mission to put out the best Trade Deadline Primer ever. It’s an e-book that will go on sale hopefully by next Monday. Inside, you will find a wealth of information from team-specific bloggers such as myself (Phillies), Peter Hjort (Braves, Capitol Avenue Club), Michael Jong (Marlins, Marlin Maniac) and Joe Janish (Mets, Mets Today) — and that’s just the NL East. We’ll tell you who is likely to go, who is likely to stay, which players each team is targeting, as well as a look at the prospects that could change addresses. It is truly a comprehensive look at the trade deadline.

I haven’t seen anything quite like this and I’m proud of the work that I’ve put into it, and I’m sure the others feel the same way. I’ll post a link to the e-book when it goes up for sale. You can help justify our hard work by purchasing the relatively cheap Trade Deadline Primer for $9.95. Know that the proceeds will go towards supporting a legion of bloggers who put in a lot of time and effort without ever being guaranteed that they will be rewarded monetarily for their efforts.

Here’s a taste of what is in the Phillies’ section of the primer regarding Jayson Werth:

The Phillies could conclude that they are unlikely to retain Jayson Werth after the 2010 season. The organization has nearly $135 million already on the books for 2011 and with Werth likely to command at least $15 million per season in a multi-year deal, such a conclusion is very realistic. As such, the Phillies could decide to capitalize on his value by trading him for prospects and cost-controlled Major League players. This is more likely to happen if the Phillies happen to fall out of the playoff race.

By the way, regarding the last part about falling out of the playoff race — when I wrote that about a month ago, I chuckled to myself. Not so funny anymore! However, despite the fact that they haven’t been this far out of first place (5 GB entering last night’s game) since 2007, there are still 81 games to play and the Braves and Mets are bound to experience some trials and tribulations of their own. Of the three, the Phillies are best-equipped to handle adversity, don’t you think?

There’s also this, their record through 81 games over the past few seasons:

  • 2010: 43-38, 4 GB, 3rd
  • 2009: 43-38, –, 1st
  • 2008: 43-38, –, 1st
  • 2007: 41-40, 6 GB, 3rd

In short, support us bloggers by buying the Trade Deadline Primer that will go on sale within a week and… optimism!


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