Trade Deadline Primer

With the 2010 MLB trading deadline on the horizon, TwinsCentric has led a rag-tag group of bloggers on a mission to put out the best Trade Deadline Primer ever. It’s an e-book that will go on sale hopefully by next Monday. Inside, you will find a wealth of information from team-specific bloggers such as myself (Phillies), Peter Hjort (Braves, Capitol Avenue Club), Michael Jong (Marlins, Marlin Maniac) and Joe Janish (Mets, Mets Today) — and that’s just the NL East. We’ll tell you who is likely to go, who is likely to stay, which players each team is targeting, as well as a look at the prospects that could change addresses. It is truly a comprehensive look at the trade deadline.

I haven’t seen anything quite like this and I’m proud of the work that I’ve put into it, and I’m sure the others feel the same way. I’ll post a link to the e-book when it goes up for sale. You can help justify our hard work by purchasing the relatively cheap Trade Deadline Primer for $9.95. Know that the proceeds will go towards supporting a legion of bloggers who put in a lot of time and effort without ever being guaranteed that they will be rewarded monetarily for their efforts.

Here’s a taste of what is in the Phillies’ section of the primer regarding Jayson Werth:

The Phillies could conclude that they are unlikely to retain Jayson Werth after the 2010 season. The organization has nearly $135 million already on the books for 2011 and with Werth likely to command at least $15 million per season in a multi-year deal, such a conclusion is very realistic. As such, the Phillies could decide to capitalize on his value by trading him for prospects and cost-controlled Major League players. This is more likely to happen if the Phillies happen to fall out of the playoff race.

By the way, regarding the last part about falling out of the playoff race — when I wrote that about a month ago, I chuckled to myself. Not so funny anymore! However, despite the fact that they haven’t been this far out of first place (5 GB entering last night’s game) since 2007, there are still 81 games to play and the Braves and Mets are bound to experience some trials and tribulations of their own. Of the three, the Phillies are best-equipped to handle adversity, don’t you think?

There’s also this, their record through 81 games over the past few seasons:

  • 2010: 43-38, 4 GB, 3rd
  • 2009: 43-38, –, 1st
  • 2008: 43-38, –, 1st
  • 2007: 41-40, 6 GB, 3rd

In short, support us bloggers by buying the Trade Deadline Primer that will go on sale within a week and… optimism!

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  1. Mark

    July 06, 2010 01:19 PM

    A 5 game lead is absolutely nothing. The Utley injury didn’t help anything, but every team in the race has faced injuries (Beltran, Heyward, etc.) and will continue to face injury problems in the second half. With a certified losing streak stopper on the staff, the Phillies can’t fold the towel unless it gets to be more than seven games back on July 31.

  2. Mike

    July 06, 2010 05:20 PM

    I love J-Dub … but they won’t be able to sign him. I don’t feel trading him tossing in the towel — in fact, I think moving him for a bat (to help while Utley/Polly are out) and an arm in the back-end of the BP would HELP. Bring up Brown – he’s ready. I bet you that Brown wouldn’t produce all that much less than J-Dub the rest of the way anyway – and you get the bonus of the players to get you thru and into the playoffs. A staff with Halladay and Hamels in the playoffs would be VERY dangerous.

  3. Scott

    July 06, 2010 06:21 PM

    Signing Ibanez will cost us Werth.

    For whatever reason Raul Ibanez is done and the Phils (thanks to Amaro) owe him another 11 mil next year. Who the hell gives an old, slow & defensively inept outfielder 30 million dollars over 3 years? A very irresponsible signing considering Amaro knew he would need cash to sign Werth after 2010.

  4. Rich

    July 06, 2010 09:21 PM

    Maybe Werth wants to test the market as an unrestricted free agent, it may be his best chance at earning the big bucks. I haven’t heard anyone from Werth’s camp that he wants to sign at anytime with the Phillies.

    If the above scenario is correct, the Phillies should deal him if he is going to test the free agent market. Of course only if they get someone really good for him.

    Remember when the Phils traded Bobby Abreu on July 30, 2006? The Phillies got CJ Henry (minors), Jesus Sanchez (minors),Carlos Monasterios, and Matt Smith from the Yankees for Abreu and Cory Lidle. Talk about a salary dump for nothing.

  5. mike

    July 07, 2010 01:40 PM

    @Scott- I agree that the Ibanez deal was not an especially good move, but exactly how did RAJ “know” he would need to re-sign Werth after 2010 when Werth wasn’t even an everyday player at that point? That didn’t become apparent until about a year ago.

    @Rich- The real value they got out of the Abreu deal was getting rid of Bobby Abreu.

    And does anyone really think the Braves are going to win 96-98 games this year? Are they that kind of a team at this point? Are the Mets? I don’t think so.

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