Let’s get one more blog entry in before our blizzard-themed weekend hits. The CHONE projected standings are up and they’re more pessimistic about the Phillies than PECOTA. BP’s projections put the Phillies in first place at 88 wins; CHONE puts the 87-win Phillies in second place behind the 89-win Atlanta Braves.
How does that look in line graph form? I’m glad you asked. Click each graph below to view a larger version.
The line graphs display a binomial distribution for each team, showing their probability to win X amount of games. The graphs are pretty self-explanatory but are fun to look at.