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BDD: A Not So Happ-y 2010
Posted By Bill Baer On January 27, 2010 @ 6:44 am In Baseball Daily Digest,MLB,Philadelphia Phillies,Sabermetrics | 2 Comments
As you can see, ERA estimators very much disagree with Happ’s 2009 ERA. Even the most optimistic estimator only puts Happ at 4.33, which is in the same neighborhood as Nick Blackburn, Mike Pelfrey, and Livan Hernandez. That is not to say that a 4.33 FIP is awful, it just means that Happ’s success last year does not match up with factors we know fall under a pitcher’s direct control.
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