BDD: What PECOTA Says
by Bill Baer on Friday, January 29th, 2010Posted in Baseball Daily Digest, MLB, Sabermetrics | 2 Comments »
At Baseball Daily Digest, I explain the aim of PECOTA: Angels fans are irate that PECOTA predicts the team to win a mere 76 games. If we go to two standard deviations, between which data falls 95% of the time, the ...
FJMing an FJM
by Bill Baer on Thursday, January 28th, 2010Posted in Baseball Daily Digest, MLB, Sabermetrics | 39 Comments »
Recently, I wrote an article at Baseball Daily Digest about the putrid off-season the L.A. Angels have been, well, not enjoying. Someone at Halos Heaven, who does not list his real name or any contact information, decided to give it ...
BDD: A Not So Happ-y 2010
by Bill Baer on Wednesday, January 27th, 2010Posted in Baseball Daily Digest, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 2 Comments »
At Baseball Daily Digest, I detail why you should not expect J.A. Happ to be the pitcher we saw last year. This is the article I was talking about in my response to David Murphy. As you can see, ERA estimators ...
An Object at Rest
by Bill Baer on Monday, January 25th, 2010Posted in Media, MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 7 Comments »
David Murphy has written a very thought-provoking piece for his High Cheese blog for the Philadelphia Daily News. If you follow both the Phillies and Sabermetrics, then you're probably well aware of the regression lefty J.A. Happ is likely to ...
Ruiz Makes It 25
by Bill Baer on Monday, January 25th, 2010Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 1 Comment »
As expected, Carlos Ruiz signed a contract extension, making him the 25th and final Phillie set to officially earn cash money in 2010. The Phillies website has the deets: The Phillies agreed Sunday on a three-year, $8.85 million contract with catcher ...
Savvy Amaro Signs Contreras
by Bill Baer on Saturday, January 23rd, 2010Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 15 Comments »
And now for something completely out of left field... the Phillies reportedly have signed Jose Contreras. The 38-year-old right-hander is expected to pitch out of the bullpen and provide depth in the starting rotation in the event of poor performance ...
Phillies Extend Victorino, Blanton
by Bill Baer on Thursday, January 21st, 2010Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 6 Comments »
Yesterday, we learned that Joe Blanton is worth about $12 million in free agent bucks, assuming a level of production at 3.0 WAR. GM Ruben Amaro did a good job, then, in getting Blanton to agree to a three-year, $24 ...
BDD: Angels Slipping Down
by Bill Baer on Thursday, January 21st, 2010Posted in Baseball Daily Digest, MLB | No Comments »
At Baseball Daily Digest, I nominate the Angels for having baseball's worst off-season. In essence, the Angels have swapped gimpy designated hitters, downgraded from Lackey to Piniero, lost Figgins and gained Rodney. Meanwhile, Roy Halladay went to Philadelphia, Cliff Lee went ...
Joe Blanton Is Worth It
by Bill Baer on Wednesday, January 20th, 2010Posted in MLB, Philadelphia Phillies, Sabermetrics | 8 Comments »
From the Phillies official website: Based on figures released in anticipation for a potential arbitration hearing next month, Blanton seeks $10.25 million for the 2010 season, but the Phillies are proposing $7.5 million, which is a bump of more than $2 ...
BDD: Brothers in Baseball
by Bill Baer on Monday, January 18th, 2010Posted in Baseball Daily Digest, MLB, Sabermetrics | No Comments »
At Baseball Daily Digest, I analyze how well brothers have played when on the same team. Of the 184 brother pairings, the “best” brother contributed negatively (-0.1 or lower) in 17 of them (92.4%). The “worst” brother contributed negatively in 91 ...


