Unsettling Trends

With yet another sweep at home against an American League team, the Phillies’ record at home drops to 13-22 (.371) and their interleague record drops to 3-9 (.250). For comparison, the 20-46 Washington Nationals fall in between those winning percentages at .303.

Going into the season, only five teams had a worse interleague record since 1997: the Cincinnati Reds, Tampa Bay Rays, San Diego Padres, Baltimore Orioles, and Pittsburgh Pirates. The Phillies had a 90-109 record which is now 93-118 (.440). Since 2006, the Phillies are 20-40 (.333). The awful, awful Phillies teams of 1997-2000 were 32-35 (.478).

In this series against the Orioles, they were outscored 15-8. Thankfully, while the Phillies have slid, so too have the Mets. Since the end of the Phils-Mets series in New York on June 11, the Mets have gone 3-6 while the Phils have gone 1-8.

Fortunately for the Phillies, they will at least be on the road for the last six games of interleague play against the Rays and Blue Jays June 23-28.

BDD: Statistics Are Not Like Bikinis

At Baseball Daily Digest, I try to clear up some of the confusion in the stats/scouts debate.

Additionally, Sabermetrics — contrary to the claims of many who don’t trust it — is not adhered to religiously. Just because PECOTA says Matt Wieters is going to smoke some American League pitching doesn’t mean that he is, in fact, going to smoke some American League pitching. We can choose to accept what various analyses say, or we can reject them.