BDD: Phillies ’09 Preview and Ryan Howard

I have two articles up at Baseball Daily Digest today.

The first is a preview of the defending World Series champions. One of my bold predictions:

Don’t Be Surprised If…

A Phillie wins both the NL MVP and Cy Young awards.

Also, I have hopped back on the Ryan Howard bandwagon:

When it comes to Ryan Howard, we make a lot of assumptions based on not a whole lot of actual evidence. We pigeonhole the guy, calling him a one-dimensional out-of-shape tub o’ lard who is going to crash and burn in epic fashion.

The truth is that we really don’t have enough information — fancy that — to make a reasonable conclusion as to how best to project him. In other words, we are unable to reject the null hypothesis that Howard will be more like his 2005-07 self than his ’08 self. 

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3 comments

  1. ShooterB

    March 30, 2009 04:59 PM

    I don’t believe you. If Utley is a lock as an MVP candidate…how could you, a Phils fan & expert, take Ian Kinsler over Utley in the fantasy draft? You must have some inside piece of information that you’re hiding from the rest of us. Is Chase dating the curse-inducing Jessica Simpson? Has he been hanging out with Canseco and A-Rod’s cousin? Was he holding down the dog-fighting fort while Mike Vick was in prison? Do tell…

    On another note…I watched some of the Phils/Pirates game out of complete boredom. I think Moyer is in trouble. The only thing he did good was by throwing it so slow, a few of the Pirates hit pool cue shots from swinging too early. If he’s depending on that as his strategy, it could be a Jose Lima of a season for him.

    Although the high fastball he threw to McCutchen was a thing of beauty. By the way, has it landed yet?

  2. Bill Baer

    March 30, 2009 05:29 PM

    Do tell…

    As a result of linking to Utley’s exclamation at the victory parade inside Citizens Bank Park, I’ve been contacted by the American Family Association. They threatened to take legal action if Chase Utley was the first second baseman drafted, so I did what I could and took Ian Kinsler.

    Serious answer: Me likey stolen bases.

    By the way, has it landed yet?

    ETA is one hour before Ryan Howard’s lands at 11:11 AM on December 21, 2021.

  3. ShooterB

    March 30, 2009 06:13 PM

    Stolen bases…so that’s what NSB stands for. Wish I would have known that before the draft. I took Milton Bradley as my sleeper, only because I thought it was a rating percentage for “Never Stops Bitching”. Now my team really looks like crap.

    And kudos for working in a Darren Daulton reference. Can’t go wrong with that.

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