Comments on: Proponents of 7-game LDS Are Wrong

By: Ernie

Ernie — Sat, 04 Oct 2008 03:14:29 +0000

I think I would freak out the next time I hear someone (Buck Martinez) refer to Pedrioa as “little pony”. I mean, what the hell?!?! I never heard that before, and he makes it seem like thats his nickname.

By: Bill B.

Bill B. — Sat, 04 Oct 2008 01:15:20 +0000

Hey, I try to be objective. And as Mr. Objectivity here, I don’t think the Phillies would fare too well against the Dodgers right now. Their odds of winning the World Series is at 22.5% as opposed to the Dodgers’ 19.3%, but it’s still close and I would personally call it much closer than that.

I would prefer three best-of-15 series because I can never get too much baseball, and the off-season between the end of the World Series and the start of the regular season is tedious. So, I would actually prefer the LDS to be 7 games, but there’s no good legitimate reason for it other than my subjective reasoning.

Although, I will probably freak out some time in the doldrums of winter and send threatening letters to Bud Selig demanding that he start an active, daily televised winter baseball league. Or I’ll just spend my winter days and nights in the MLB.TV archives.

By: Ernie

Ernie — Sat, 04 Oct 2008 01:06:30 +0000

I suppose there is no good perfect answer. I dont know. I guess that 3 7 game series are at least more probable. Its been the norm for awhile (7 game series in the playoffs). So I dont think there would be much of a problem with it. If people want a 9 game playoff, then, well, they are just crazy. Surprised to get a post like this from you, Mr. my team is about to sweep the Brewers and kick the crap out of the dodgers
(Only to get killed by the red sox, of course.)

By: Bill Baer

Bill Baer — Sat, 04 Oct 2008 00:49:03 +0000

But what to do when people start whining that a 7-game series isn’t long enough?

Or if Selig wants to rake in even more revenue from the 9-game series? It is, as they say, a slippery slope.

Check this out:

Q: In baseball, suppose the American League champion is better than the National League champion, such that it has a 55% probability of winning each game against the NL champ. Then the NL champ nonetheless will win a best-of-seven-games series four in 10 times. What is the smallest odd number, X, for which a World Series between these two league champs that is best-of-X will ensure that there’s a 95% probability of a just result — the superior AL champ winning?

A: 269 games.

By: Ernie

Ernie — Sat, 04 Oct 2008 00:35:48 +0000

honestly, I always thought the DS should be 7 games. When there is only a 5 game sample size, crazy things can happen. I just think it would be a fairer playing ground if all series were 7 games (although, I wasnt complaining in 03′ when the sox came back and beat the A’s on that “thank god Tim Hudson got hurt” game.) I still think it would make more sense to have all of the series be the same length.