Comments on: Anger Management, Phillies Style http://crashburnalley.com/2008/07/21/anger-management-phillies-style/ Philadelphia Phillies baseball analysis that everyone can enjoy. Fri, 12 Mar 2010 15:49:32 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Bill Baer http://crashburnalley.com/2008/07/21/anger-management-phillies-style/comment-page-1/#comment-3893 Bill Baer Tue, 22 Jul 2008 01:19:26 +0000 http://crashburnalley.com/?p=171#comment-3893 I like to think of it this way: you are guaranteed to bat once every three innings at least, usually less. But not only can that one at-bat of Burrell's shape the outcome of the game, he can affect other at-bats, too. While I'm not a firm believer in protection, Burrell can affect how the hitter in front of him (Ryan Howard) is pitched. If Eric Bruntlett is hitting in the #5 spot instead of Burrell, Howard's not going to get anything to hit if there's a base open. Additionally, you're not guaranteed to make any impact defensively over any period of time. Burrell has played 739 innings in left field, but he's only made 98 plays which averages out between one play every seven and one-third and seven and two-thirds innings. Consider that in the later innings, you usually have pitchers who throw faster (Lidge, Madson, Gordon, Romero, and Seanez can all pitch in the mid-90's), hitters are more likely to be late on fastballs, which means more balls to center and right field. [/logic] I like to think of it this way: you are guaranteed to bat once every three innings at least, usually less. But not only can that one at-bat of Burrell’s shape the outcome of the game, he can affect other at-bats, too. While I’m not a firm believer in protection, Burrell can affect how the hitter in front of him (Ryan Howard) is pitched. If Eric Bruntlett is hitting in the #5 spot instead of Burrell, Howard’s not going to get anything to hit if there’s a base open.

Additionally, you’re not guaranteed to make any impact defensively over any period of time. Burrell has played 739 innings in left field, but he’s only made 98 plays which averages out between one play every seven and one-third and seven and two-thirds innings.

Consider that in the later innings, you usually have pitchers who throw faster (Lidge, Madson, Gordon, Romero, and Seanez can all pitch in the mid-90’s), hitters are more likely to be late on fastballs, which means more balls to center and right field.

[/logic]

]]> By: MoonDog http://crashburnalley.com/2008/07/21/anger-management-phillies-style/comment-page-1/#comment-3891 MoonDog Mon, 21 Jul 2008 21:44:18 +0000 http://crashburnalley.com/?p=171#comment-3891 I can appreciate defensive substitutions but the reality is pitching is always more of a factor than who is playing a certain position. In a close game, if your bullpen sucks, like the Cardinals, I'd rather have my strongest bats remain in the game knowing the chances are good you're going to need them. If you're up by three runs and you have a good closer, then I can understand a defensive substitution. I can appreciate defensive substitutions but the reality is pitching is always more of a factor than who is playing a certain position.

In a close game, if your bullpen sucks, like the Cardinals, I’d rather have my strongest bats remain in the game knowing the chances are good you’re going to need them.

If you’re up by three runs and you have a good closer, then I can understand a defensive substitution.

]]> By: Bill Baer http://crashburnalley.com/2008/07/21/anger-management-phillies-style/comment-page-1/#comment-3890 Bill Baer Mon, 21 Jul 2008 18:58:14 +0000 http://crashburnalley.com/?p=171#comment-3890 Atop? No way! You should know that the Pitcher Abuse Points formula is: (Length of wife's hair being pulled + Radius of black eye) divided by punches and slaps used. Myers comes in at around third. His wife's hair length helps him out a bit but it should regress to the mean with time. Atop? No way! You should know that the Pitcher Abuse Points formula is:

(Length of wife’s hair being pulled + Radius of black eye) divided by punches and slaps used.

Myers comes in at around third. His wife’s hair length helps him out a bit but it should regress to the mean with time.

]]> By: ShooterB http://crashburnalley.com/2008/07/21/anger-management-phillies-style/comment-page-1/#comment-3889 ShooterB Mon, 21 Jul 2008 17:21:08 +0000 http://crashburnalley.com/?p=171#comment-3889 I must dispute your statistical analysis. Shouldn't your linked list have Brett Myers atop the Pitcher Abuse rankings? (rimshot & crickets) I must dispute your statistical analysis. Shouldn’t your linked list have Brett Myers atop the Pitcher Abuse rankings?

(rimshot & crickets)

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