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	<title>Comments on: Jay Urban Is On Notice</title>
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	<description>Philadelphia Phillies baseball analysis that everyone can enjoy.</description>
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		<title>By: Jay Urban</title>
		<link>http://crashburnalley.com/2008/05/19/jay-urban-is-on-notice/comment-page-1/#comment-7011</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay Urban</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 22:03:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crashburnalley.com/?p=140#comment-7011</guid>
		<description>http://www.fantasybaseballdugout.com/2008/11/09/homeruns-totals-per-year-mlb/

Fewer home runs hit this year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.fantasybaseballdugout.com/2008/11/09/homeruns-totals-per-year-mlb/" rel="nofollow">http://www.fantasybaseballdugout.com/2008/11/09/homeruns-totals-per-year-mlb/</a></p>
<p>Fewer home runs hit this year.</p>
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		<title>By: Bill B.</title>
		<link>http://crashburnalley.com/2008/05/19/jay-urban-is-on-notice/comment-page-1/#comment-2559</link>
		<dc:creator>Bill B.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 05:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crashburnalley.com/?p=140#comment-2559</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;the stats you give are only from the last two years&lt;/i&gt;

If you want to go back and look at past years and see if it supports your thesis, be my guest. I will be more than happy to admit that I was wrong if this happens to be the case.

&lt;i&gt;we should compare the current numbers against an era (the mid to late 90’s and early 21st century)&lt;/i&gt;

We can, I don&#039;t know what&#039;s stopping you.

&lt;i&gt;The comment about Casa Blanca was the funniest thing I have read in a long time. It had nothing to do with the post.&lt;/i&gt;

It was a comparison: you said the fans were given a lemon; I said the fans were given a great show.

&lt;i&gt;Everyone tunes in to Hollywood because they know it is fake.&lt;/i&gt;

Oh, it&#039;s not because it&#039;s entertaining, or because they can relate to the storyline and characters?

&lt;i&gt;Baseball fans more than any other sport, find respect for the game among their highest values.&lt;/i&gt;

Uh... okay. I don&#039;t know what this has to do with anything. And I&#039;m hoping that when you refer to &quot;values,&quot; you&#039;re not talking about morals, and are just speaking broadly.

&lt;i&gt;This is the reason that home runs have dropping off at this pace? That is ridiculous.&lt;/i&gt;

&lt;a href=&quot;http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?sort=homeRuns&amp;split=40&amp;group=8&amp;season=2007&amp;seasonType=2&amp;statType=batting&amp;type=reg&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Last season&lt;/a&gt;, avg. HR by month: &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.crashburnalley.com/month.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Click here&lt;/a&gt;.

As you can see, April had the fewest HR every single year excluding September, 2001 for obvious reasons.

&lt;i&gt;If you want to give a reason for more home runs being hit at the end of the year, you need to focus on two things, routine for hitters and fatigue in pitchers.&lt;/i&gt;

Fatigue, yes, but routine? What, exactly, do you mean by that anyway?

&lt;i&gt;Why were there almost 1,500 more home runs hit in the late 90’s than in the late 80s and today?&lt;/i&gt;

If you&#039;re just using aggregate totals and comparing them to the 2000&#039;s, it&#039;s a bias comparison because this decade isn&#039;t finished yet. You&#039;re comparing 10 years&#039; worth of homers in the &#039;90&#039;s to eight years&#039; worth in the 2000&#039;s.

Regardless, you need to heed this:

&lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Correlation does not imply causation&lt;/a&gt;.

&lt;i&gt;Your conclusion is weak.&lt;/i&gt;

Because it&#039;s not exciting and controversial? It&#039;s completely factual.

&lt;i&gt;The only reason I dignified this weak article with a response is our mutual love for Rush.&lt;/i&gt;

I don&#039;t love Rush; I have to make a Rush reference in all of my posts for a week due to a wager I had with the guys at Drunk Jays Fans (listed in my blogroll). If the Blue Jays won the series against the Phillies, I had to make a Rush reference in all of my posts for a week. If the Phillies won the series against the Blue Jays, they had to make a Hall and Oates reference in all of their posts for a week.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>the stats you give are only from the last two years</i></p>
<p>If you want to go back and look at past years and see if it supports your thesis, be my guest. I will be more than happy to admit that I was wrong if this happens to be the case.</p>
<p><i>we should compare the current numbers against an era (the mid to late 90’s and early 21st century)</i></p>
<p>We can, I don&#8217;t know what&#8217;s stopping you.</p>
<p><i>The comment about Casa Blanca was the funniest thing I have read in a long time. It had nothing to do with the post.</i></p>
<p>It was a comparison: you said the fans were given a lemon; I said the fans were given a great show.</p>
<p><i>Everyone tunes in to Hollywood because they know it is fake.</i></p>
<p>Oh, it&#8217;s not because it&#8217;s entertaining, or because they can relate to the storyline and characters?</p>
<p><i>Baseball fans more than any other sport, find respect for the game among their highest values.</i></p>
<p>Uh&#8230; okay. I don&#8217;t know what this has to do with anything. And I&#8217;m hoping that when you refer to &#8220;values,&#8221; you&#8217;re not talking about morals, and are just speaking broadly.</p>
<p><i>This is the reason that home runs have dropping off at this pace? That is ridiculous.</i></p>
<p><a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?sort=homeRuns&amp;split=40&amp;group=8&amp;season=2007&amp;seasonType=2&amp;statType=batting&amp;type=reg" rel="nofollow">Last season</a>, avg. HR by month: <a href="http://www.crashburnalley.com/month.html" rel="nofollow">Click here</a>.</p>
<p>As you can see, April had the fewest HR every single year excluding September, 2001 for obvious reasons.</p>
<p><i>If you want to give a reason for more home runs being hit at the end of the year, you need to focus on two things, routine for hitters and fatigue in pitchers.</i></p>
<p>Fatigue, yes, but routine? What, exactly, do you mean by that anyway?</p>
<p><i>Why were there almost 1,500 more home runs hit in the late 90’s than in the late 80s and today?</i></p>
<p>If you&#8217;re just using aggregate totals and comparing them to the 2000&#8217;s, it&#8217;s a bias comparison because this decade isn&#8217;t finished yet. You&#8217;re comparing 10 years&#8217; worth of homers in the &#8217;90&#8217;s to eight years&#8217; worth in the 2000&#8217;s.</p>
<p>Regardless, you need to heed this:</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation" rel="nofollow">Correlation does not imply causation</a>.</p>
<p><i>Your conclusion is weak.</i></p>
<p>Because it&#8217;s not exciting and controversial? It&#8217;s completely factual.</p>
<p><i>The only reason I dignified this weak article with a response is our mutual love for Rush.</i></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t love Rush; I have to make a Rush reference in all of my posts for a week due to a wager I had with the guys at Drunk Jays Fans (listed in my blogroll). If the Blue Jays won the series against the Phillies, I had to make a Rush reference in all of my posts for a week. If the Phillies won the series against the Blue Jays, they had to make a Hall and Oates reference in all of their posts for a week.</p>
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		<title>By: Jay Urban</title>
		<link>http://crashburnalley.com/2008/05/19/jay-urban-is-on-notice/comment-page-1/#comment-2557</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay Urban</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 02:58:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://crashburnalley.com/?p=140#comment-2557</guid>
		<description>I guess you are right.  Steroids haven&#039;t played a role with any significance.  

Come ON! (Gob Bluth)

To begin, the stats you give are only from the last two years.  The whole point of the ESPN radio interview was that we should compare the current numbers against an era (the mid to late 90&#039;s and early 21st century).  Looking
The comment about Casa Blanca was the funniest thing I have read in a long time.  It had nothing to do with the post.  Everyone tunes in to Hollywood because they know it is fake.  Casa Blanca, a prime example of the Hollywood studio system at its finest, demonstrates exactly how un-real Hollywood is.  Baseball fans more than any other sport, find respect for the game among their highest values.  

Besides, cold weather.  This is the reason that home runs have dropping off at this pace? That is ridiculous.  If you want to give a reason for more home runs being hit at the end of the year, you need to focus on two things, routine for hitters and fatigue in pitchers.  Why were there almost 1,500 more home runs hit in the late 90&#039;s than in the late 80s and today?  Cold weather always strikes at the end of the season?  

You disagree with the beginning of my article based on the facts that don&#039;t relate.  You then essentially agree with all of the points at the end of my article.  

&quot;As shown above, the real reason for lack of offensive production is basically the cold weather and randomness.&quot;

Your conclusion is weak.  

The only reason I dignified this weak article with a response is our mutual love for Rush.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess you are right.  Steroids haven&#8217;t played a role with any significance.  </p>
<p>Come ON! (Gob Bluth)</p>
<p>To begin, the stats you give are only from the last two years.  The whole point of the ESPN radio interview was that we should compare the current numbers against an era (the mid to late 90&#8217;s and early 21st century).  Looking<br />
The comment about Casa Blanca was the funniest thing I have read in a long time.  It had nothing to do with the post.  Everyone tunes in to Hollywood because they know it is fake.  Casa Blanca, a prime example of the Hollywood studio system at its finest, demonstrates exactly how un-real Hollywood is.  Baseball fans more than any other sport, find respect for the game among their highest values.  </p>
<p>Besides, cold weather.  This is the reason that home runs have dropping off at this pace? That is ridiculous.  If you want to give a reason for more home runs being hit at the end of the year, you need to focus on two things, routine for hitters and fatigue in pitchers.  Why were there almost 1,500 more home runs hit in the late 90&#8217;s than in the late 80s and today?  Cold weather always strikes at the end of the season?  </p>
<p>You disagree with the beginning of my article based on the facts that don&#8217;t relate.  You then essentially agree with all of the points at the end of my article.  </p>
<p>&#8220;As shown above, the real reason for lack of offensive production is basically the cold weather and randomness.&#8221;</p>
<p>Your conclusion is weak.  </p>
<p>The only reason I dignified this weak article with a response is our mutual love for Rush.</p>
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